Showing posts with label Portfolio Evaluation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Portfolio Evaluation. Show all posts

Thursday, 23 January 2014

Portfolio Planning


Happy Learning!!
Portfolio analysis considers the risks and returns that an investor may expect from holding a mix of various individual securities. Building a portfolio of stock and bonds require a good amount of research to be made. Gathering of reliable and dependable information is crucial for this purpose. A well diversified portfolio will reduce the risks of making a loss. An optimum portfolio that an investor can build will be one that maximizes returns on the investment made.
An investor not only needs to assess the returns on individual securities, but also will associate the risk with the performance of the whole market. This will help to minimize risks ahead of the market movements.
Another important area is the identification of undervalued and overvalued securities whose returns and the return pattern of the securities market can be compared.
Portfolio evaluation holds an equally important role as securities evaluation. For example, an investor is able to sell a stock that has risen by $14/-. He uses the capital to invest into a new and profitable security. On scrutiny of the security prices, the investor finds that the price of the share he sold has increased by another $5/-. The potential earning of $5/- that the investor lost can be considered as an opportunity cost and not as a loss. This happens because the investor considered the whole portfolio rather than a single security.
Holding on to a falling stock with an expectation that it will rise in the future can lead to loss making. This happens because the tendency of the investor is to book profits. An investor does not prefer to book losses while buying and selling shares. A better option in this circumstance is opt out of the holding and purchase a stock which is more profitable.
The objective of portfolio planning and designing is to achieve proper proportions of each of the holding so as to reduce the risk of making loss to be zero. Perhaps a good way to arrive at this situation is to find securities which tend to perform well when the others do not. This will ensure a more reasonable return for the portfolio as a whole even if a one or few of its components happens to be too risky to hold.


Friday, 17 January 2014

Portfolio Evaluation

Happy Learning!!

 Evaluation of a portfolio of investments becomes necessary for individuals, firms, for mutual fund firms and also for academicians and researchers. Though the objective of research will naturally be different, the method of evaluation is the same for all of them.
Given here is an explanation of how portfolios are evaluated:

In the short run,say one year the total returns can be calculated as given below:

(Capital Appreciation* of the total portfolio; including cash and money market instruments)

+ (The income out of the portfolio and other capital distributions from the portfolio)

_ (The capital infusions into the portfolio)

* Capital Appreciation is calculated as follows:

(Market Value of the portfolio at the end of the period) - (Value of the portfolio at the beginning of the period)

When we consider the long run, the cash flow rate will need to be timed.This is because these are cash flows for the long run. Therefore, greater care will need to be taken to evaluate the portfolio return in the long run. This rate of return is precisely what we call the Internal Rate of Return.